HansHill wrote: ↑Fri Mar 14, 2025 12:16 pm
For all of these reasons and more, no exterminationist will be able to put a number on it, let alone tell you where they are or where they went, or where they died.
At best they will give you a range, at worst they will be completely honest and tell you its impossible.
Just to remind our friend Nessie here what his challenge entails, because I almost spit out my Iced Latte reading his slop.
Now to work through his findings:
Source 1
- Self referential, therefore circular - (the link where the claim of 31,000 is made goes to another Guardian article where the 31,000 is not substantiated)
- Disagrees with, and is undermined by Source 2 which I will explain to everyone below.
Source 2
- Cites 600 during the Cold War, and 26,000 total arriving in SK, citing Daniel J. Schwekendiek (DJS)
- Claims that media sources (like 1 above and 3 below) are inaccurate
- However, this same DJS is later cited again, giving the figures of ~6,000 and ~12,000 respectively, providing two other sources
- Regarding the China number, the same source by DJS tells us:
Not only have North Koreans massively migrated to South Korea, the
majority has migrated illegally to China. Exact numbers are almost
impossible to obtain. In the early 2000s, border guards once noted that
35 to 50 persons cross the frontier on an average day (Nanchu and
Hang 2003: 115), while in 1997, other guards put the number at 2,000
(Becker 1996: 330). Frequently used figures for the North Korean
population in China circulating in the media were 100,000 to 300,000
as of 2002 (Smith 2002), or 100,000 to 400,000 in the late 1990s
(Shim 1999).
Emphasis mine.
- While source 2 tells us that media outlets are inaccurate, DJS cites several academics who in turn
are even more overinflated than the media outlets, examples:
- Nanchu & Hang (2003) cite 35 - 50 defectors per day
- Becker (1996) cites 2,000 defectors per day
- Smith (2002) cites 100,000 - 300,000 in China alone
- Shim (1999) cites 100,000 - 400,000, again in China alone
Meaning, nobody cited by Nessie or the network of citations therein, has any clue what is going on.
Source 3
- Did you even read this? The title is
"Dozens of North Korean defectors caught by secret police 'vanish', says rights group"
- This entire article supports my premise that these defectors are disappeared and you cannot quantify them or account for their whereabouts or their fate
- Additionally, NK denies these reports (naturally) and with China also denying how "defectors" are accounted for compared with "economic migrants".
Here's a similar article to your third source, which again says a very similar thing about the disappearances:
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-paci ... 023-12-07/
Up to 600 North Korean defectors deported by China 'vanish' - rights group
So to recap:
HH: "you cannot quantify or account for these people, at best you could provide estimates or ranges - because this information is intentionally withheld from you"
Nessie: Provides estimate ranges that contradict each other, themselves acknowledging it is impossible, and that these people are routinely "vanished" and therefore the information is withheld from him.
Challenge failed. I want to be fair to you Nessie, i don't think you are necessarily a low IQ person, far from it. Rather, what I personally think is that you were so desperate for a slam dunk, you found whatever looked appealing and sloppily pasted it into Codoh. So you are either a sloppy operator, or you are ideologically motivated into these recurring copes. That's probably the best compliment you are likely to get round these parts, so you are doing well!