SanityCheck wrote: ↑Tue Jan 20, 2026 3:04 am
Your invocation of Popperian falsificationism got me thinking. I've read more than enough philosophy of science and philosophy of history to know that falsificationism is a contested model, but also that it was originally applied to scientific theories and thus often involved prediction. Popper famously criticised some models which might be considered social science for their unfalsifiability, such as Marxism and Freudianism, which failed to predict things. But there isn't so much discussion of Popperianism in the philosophy of history.
A great deal of history cannot be 'falsified' in a meaningful sense, especially at the factual level of personalities, organisations and events. One cannot falsify the historical existence of the House Un-American Activities Committee any more than one can falsify the fact that the Frankfurt Auschwitz Trial took place in West Germany between 1963 and 1965. Perhaps you can explain in relation to Popperianism how one could apply 'falsification' to such organisations or events.
Falsification is both a model
and a
principle. As a model, it has been superseded by many subsequent refinements. As a principle,
it still applies and is widely endorsed as a minimal criterion for science (and other logical assessments).
For most purposes, the claim that "we are all living in a simulation" is not a testable/falsifiable claim. Thus, it remains scientifically and logically invalid (caveat: there is some extraordinary modern science that could eventually change this but, for now, the principle of falsification still rules it out).
There are multiple ways that a claim could lack falsifiability. Examples:
- Lack of specificity
- Lack of feasible analysis
- Lack of freedom to investigate
For our purposes, the third item above is especially important. If an assertion is not subject to being proven false in-practice, it isn't valid. If Brian Shaw (four-time World's Strongest Man winner) claims, "I am stronger than any man in North Korea," his claim is much more valid than if Kim Jong Un (North Korean dictator) were to make the same claim. While both could have their claims go unchallenged, Brian's strength is testable and Kim Jong Un simply prohibits testing. Jong Un's claim is not valid (and looking at the broader patterns, also appears extremely unlikely).
The notion that history should be exempt from the falsification principle is, of course, absurd. Historical hypotheses generally can be falsified, e.g.: "All casualties from the Battle of Waterloo were buried in the cemetery at Y."
If later a grave is discovered that predates the battle, the hypothesis is falsified. What matters is whether the hypothesis makes
risk‑bearing predictions, i.e. is fully exposed to potential refutation. If not, it is invalidated, at least in practice.
For your examples of the existence of the House Un-American Activities Committee and the Frankfurt Auschwitz Trial:
- There is no prohibition or stigma in conducting an investigation
- The records which support such organizations having existed are subject to scrutiny
- Such an investigation could feasibly be conducted
- The claim is specific enough to be confirmed/refuted, etc.
Therefore, it can definitely be tested whether or not these existed.
SanityCheck wrote:The other problem is what you call 'the Holocaust narrative' and what I and others in the real world might understand by this are two very different things. I use the term Holocaust as a shorthand for the era from 1933 to 1945 as it relates to the persecution and murder of European Jews by the Germans, their allies, collaborators (and indeed some parts of ordinary societies who participated or profited in various ways). You seem to restrict 'the Holocaust narrative' to the gassing and cremation procedures at a few camps conventionally considered extermination camps or dual-purpose concentration and extermination camps. Your use of 'the Holocaust narrative' doesn't even really include the other functions of Auschwitz-Birkenau as a labour camp, site of agricultural and medical experiments, site of punishment and executions, and so on, except very selectively if someone starts ranting about, say, Mengele.
Actual 'Holocaust narratives' have since Poliakov in 1951 understood the T4 euthanasia gassings as well as mass shootings as an integral part of the 'narrative', i.e. the origins and evolution of Nazi policies of mass murder which culminated in the extermination camps, with shootings and other gassings continuing in parallel or even following on from deportations/gassings. This has been narrated and synthesised over and over again. Just look at the short chapter in Volker Ullrich's second volume of his Hitler biography for the war years, where in 265 notes he weaves in the precedent of the euthanasia gassings together with the mass shootings and the extermination camps. Others have done it better than Ullrich, whether they are weaving in and entangling a 'Holocaust narrative' within a biography of Hitler or Himmler, a history of the Third Reich, a history of a country under German occupation, or in its own right as a history of the Holocaust, like Saul Friedlander's The Years of Extermination.
There isn't an easy way to disentangle the actual 'Holocaust narrative' over 1933-1945 from the histories of the Third Reich and WWII. Germany has to annexe Austria to start persecuting Austrian Jews and forcing them to emigrate; it has to invade Poland before it can force Jews into ghettos; and it has to occupy its former ally Italy before it can conduct a round-up of Jews in Rome in October 1943. So all of these things show up in actual 'Holocaust narratives', along with accounts of round-ups and deportations, like the Vel d'Hiv round-up in Paris on July 16-17, 1942.
In turn, the events and places which feature in actual 'Holocaust narratives' have been the causes of trials, memorials, museums, novels, histories, and feature films, as well as an aftermath in other respects. One cannot 'falsify' the fact that the Vel d'Hiv round-up prompted three memorials in Paris, two documentaries and four feature films in France, or the fact that the French state has declared the non-returning deportees to be legally dead. The only way of directly 'falsifying' the latter would be to show that someone thought to be missing actually survived, which happened to non-Jews declared missing and legally dead after WWII as well in small numbers. So this means in significant numbers, using evidence.
Thanks (I guess?) for your flexing/exercising of historical knowledge, here, but it's mostly irrelevant and unhelpful. Revisionists and exterminationists agree on most of what happened in WW2. There were camps, WW2 happened, Jews were rounded up, shootings sometimes happened, Auschwitz was also a labor camp. Unfortunately, you seem to be mis-applying the concept/principle of falsification. E.g. you can definitely test (and potentially falsify) the claim that the Vel d'Hiv round-up prompted three memorials in Paris, etc. We can ask/investigate who built the memorials, and if we ever stumble across evidence that something else (e.g. political motivations) prompted the memorials, then the claim that the round-up is what prompted these could be falsified. However, if the French government became a prison state and criminalized such investigations/inquiries, this might not be possible (hence, at least partly invalidating claims that the Vel d'Hiv round-up prompted the memorials). The difference between accepted
truth (the roundup occurred and the memorials were built) and
validity (ensuring proper inference to what actually prompted the memorials) is critical, here, but
both are required for an argument/position to be sound.
SanityCheck wrote:That might eventually produce not a 'falsification' but a genuine revision, based on positive evidence, instead of weird rules designed to help Jew-haters avoid Holocaust cooties even as they obsessively fuss over some parts (but not others) of the Holocaust. You guys seem like masochists a lot of the time, although I admit the same could be said about me bothering to see what you're up to these days...
I'm starting to think you whip out the ad hominem once you become nervous, Nick. Did you remember at this moment that you've blatantly dodged the technical aspects once again, perhaps projecting your own insecurities, here?
HansHill is kind enough to give you the benefit of the doubt and assume its merely a professional tactic that you "stay in your lane" and dodge these matters entirely. I'm not so sure.
SanityCheck wrote:Those rules still won't 'falsify' the historical record of the trials, museums, films, novels, histories, memoirs, and publication or digitisation of sources about the extermination camps, as well as the cultural, intellectual, social and political (and international) discussion of them, especially Auschwitz, from 1945 to the present.
LOL what even is this? Please Google 'falsification'. Or just read this:
criterion of falsifiability, in the philosophy of science, a standard of evaluation of putatively scientific theories, according to which a theory is genuinely scientific only if it is possible in principle to establish that it is false. The British philosopher Sir Karl Popper (1902–94) proposed the criterion as a foundational method of the empirical sciences. He held that genuinely scientific theories are never finally confirmed, because disconfirming observations (observations that are inconsistent with the empirical predictions of the theory) are always possible no matter how many confirming observations have been made. Scientific theories are instead incrementally corroborated through the absence of disconfirming evidence in a number of well-designed experiments. According to Popper, some disciplines that have claimed scientific validity—e.g., astrology, metaphysics, Marxism, and psychoanalysis —are not empirical sciences, because their subject matter cannot be falsified in this manner.
https://www.britannica.com/topic/criter ... ifiability
Here is some discussion which includes examples of Popper's application of the same principle into the social sciences:
https://www-personal.umd.umich.edu/~del ... bility.pdf
SanityCheck wrote:More to the point, there's a problem with how you guys think of 'narrative' and what one needs to do to change a narrative. If you're not reducing 'the Holocaust narrative' to gassing-and-cremation-only, revisionists seem to use it to refer to interpretations, or meta-narratives. But there just isn't one single interpretation or meta-narrative about the Holocaust. One can argue with the interpretations, and you might refute some through straightforward argument. That isn't really 'falsification', since the interpretations aren't scientific theories.
The metanarrative level is an entirely different sense of 'narrative' to recounting a history. The persecution and murder of European Jews between 1933-1945 can be recounted in many different narratives, as noted above - as part of another history, such as a Hitler biography or account of the Third Reich, or a history of a country under occupation, or in its own right. The details don't imply anything about the significance after 1945 for a particular national or political position.
Those narratives cannot be 'falsified', they can only be revised. They have after all proliferated dramatically since 1945, with varying levels of detail and sourcing, varying levels of zooming in and out, and shown the same kind of evolution as any other collection of historical narratives. Every history, every biography, every memoir, is a narrative.
'Revisionism' hasn't produced a comparable narrative of its own. The revisionist literature is not written like conventional history - only a few authors, like Butz and Crowell, have some elements of this basic tell-a-story sense of narrative. Worse, a lot of the arguments made seem intended to avoid recounting a narrative, and end up distracting from any sense of story. But that makes them often long-winded and therefore ineffective, since the arguments often cannot be integrated into a narrative.
It seems you're again projecting with the phrase "gassing-and-cremation-only", since gassing-and-cremation is the only topic which you leave out of your own analysis, completely and consistently. Do you think it doesn't matter? Do murder investigations or trials sometimes ignore the crime scene and murder weapon, even though these elements
are readily available for review? Is it helpful to do so?
Are these elements not part of the same narrative you insist that it is revisionists who ignore?
Furthermore, isn't 'storytelling' interrupted by a cover-up? Are revisionists not met with overwhelming support for their claims of a cover-up,
given the motive, means, opportunity, and patterns of behavior are abundantly evidenced as such?
You began your reply to me saying that the question of falsification 'got you thinking'. Did the point about your total blackout-avoidance of any technical matter not also 'get you thinking'? In your extensive network of Holocaust-lore-fans, do none have technical know-how to assist "never again" narratives through a refutation of Mattogno's (and revisionism's) most compelling and resilient arguments? Or, do you:
- Ignore thermodynamics
- Ignore archaeology
- Ignore chemistry
And listen ONLY to witnesses of every flavor, and:
- Ignore their lies
- Ignore their individual and collective benefits
This would not be so troubling if you could at least point to colleagues or other experts in the 'ignored' fields (thermodynamics, archaeology, chemistry) who might shed light on just how/where revisionists have gone wrong. Instead, you
simply ignore this demand (every single time) and continue rambling about what
'muh witnesses' have bitched-on about ad nauseum.
SanityCheck wrote:Case in point, your arguments about Himmler's speeches, asserting that various German words don't mean what they obviously mean. If you read conventional histories, especially in German, they can just quote from the speeches alongside other points and sources. They don't need to interrupt the flow with extra commentary. None of the attempts in published revisionist literature to 'reinterpret' the speeches or key words (such as those attempted by Germar Rudolf) are couched in a narrative of what was going on in 1943-44, following a presentation of 1939-early 1943, or any other time period.
What "evakuierung" means is "evacuation". The only interruption to the flow is in the biased lenses which were beaten into public consciousness through traumatizing world war and its relentless messages of 'good' and 'evil', extending many years postwar and into the present. Without such preloading of expectations to what 'Nazis really meant', no one would read Himmler's speeches to refer to a total racial extermination policy, period. E.g. at Posen, where there is clear evidence (still unchallenged by you or anyone) that he is not referring to such a policy:
It is one of those things that's easy to say: "The Jewish people will be extirpated [ausgerottet]", says every Party comrade, "that's quite clear, it's in our programme: elimination [Ausschaltung] of the Jews, extirpation [Ausrottung] ; that's what we're doing." And then they all come along, these 80 million good Germans, and every one of them has his decent Jew. Of course, it's quite clear that the others are pigs, but this one is one first-class Jew.
What "Party programme" is he talking about here, Nick? Does it entail extermination? Or literal evacuation?
"Bueller...?"
SanityCheck wrote:The longer the arguments, the less they can be woven into a narrative and tell a convincing story.
This is rich coming from someone who is notorious for extreme and excessive verbosity in his arguments, gish gallop galore. No, you are definitely a proponent of massive arguments on any topic, with a great portion of your 'successes' in any debate being simply boring or info-dumping your opponent into submission. Word count alone proves this. If you have a cogent argument/position, it can almost always be made concisely. Yet you never seem to achieve this.
SanityCheck wrote:There isn't a singular 'orthodox narrative', but a massive proliferation of narratives, which use a huge variety of sources and references.
Yes, that is correct. And like every religion (most of which
must be incorrect), entire libraries can be filled with this nonsense. Unfortunately for your position, falsifiability is not the only principle that you have to ignore.
Quality over quantity is yet another, but you still take advantage of the imbalance seen as being favorable to you (quantity), while ignoring the evidence that matters most (harder sciences a la chemistry, thermodynamics, archaeology, etc.; i.e.
quality).
You point to:
Many narratives, many claims, many documents
While ignoring:
Many motives, means, opportunities, patterns of deception
You disregard how hated the Germans were by their enemies (both during the war
and ever since) and instead point at how many footnotes the authors of X, Y, Z books included, each to a claim from a person
well-aware their statements could be used politically against Germany (and most often recorded in investigations by victorious superpowers only interested in anti-German narrative), or to some academic works self-referentially/circularly quoting one another and/or the same sets of 'evidence'.
Victorious superpowers can have considerable control or influence on demographic data collection and publishing, on the types of major investigations conducted (or not), on the postwar trials and their scope and nature of investigation, and much more. What they
cannot have considerable control or influence over (or are unlikely to) is
how many corpses are actually under the earth, or how much FeCN is actually in the walls, how much wood or manpower is required, how visible the biblical-scale pyres would have been to many thousands of nearby residents and travelers, or how many maintenance operations would be required at the Kremas, etc.
It is exactly these things, which the victorious powers could not have reliably influenced, that align consistently with the revisionist narrative. This is a powerful set of revisionist arguments, and you dodge them completely.
On the documentation side of things, other than official German docs, or Goebbels' private diary, or the myriad official declarations of evacuation (non-genocide) policy which you deem "code words"

; there are also the numerous newspaper clippings published across the Eastern territories and Europe during the war (detailed in TECOAR) reporting Jewish arrivals into the Eastern territories. You write these off as mere wartime misinformation however we would expect that victorious superpowers cannot effectively erase contemporary published news reports (given they are widespread and public rather than archival) -- so, once again,
the evidence we should expect to align with revisionism consistently does.
Kindly answer the question: why do you completely avoid the technical debate? It isn't that you're not familiar with it. Do you feel you're incompetent to do so? If so, is there someone you feel is better suited, perhaps a colleague?