"Soviet reports are irrelevant" - only primary sources matter (Wrong)
Posted: Sat Nov 02, 2024 1:53 am
In another thread, something came up that I think is a rather significant source of disagreement. The idea is that even though the Soviet investigations (and American and British and ...) were of very poor quality, this is "irrelevant" because all that matters are the underlying primary sources. I could really not disagree with this more strongly.
The major flaw in bombsaway's reasoning is that when he says "just look at the primary sources" he is ignoring important context. These primary sources do not exist in a vacuum. It is important to ask WHO was collecting statements and WHY.
The WHO and WHY Matter
You will get very different results with an investigation headed by Goebbels vs by Ilya Ehrenburg. This is obvious. And, no, we are not required a prove a "conspiracy" in order to assume this. We can assume unless proven otherwise that government's slant things.
If you look at Russian vs Ukrainian sources on the war there, you're going to get very different stories. Same with Israel and Gaza. Yet we are supposed to suspend this common sense when it comes to the Nazis and their enemies.
A Dramatic Example: Dueling Katyn Investigations
The German and Soviet Katyn investigations demonstrate the point very forcefully. The Germans said that the Polish officers had been killed in the spring of 1940. The Soviets claimed it had happened much later, in the fall of 1941 after Barbarossa. The Soviet Katyn report (USSR-54) boasts of "over 100 witnesses." And guess what? All their witnesses supported their version. They found lots of witnesses who saw the Polish officers alive and well in mid 1941. Gee, how about that? In some cases they were literally the same people but they changed their stories depending on who was asking the questions!
I can already foresee that the response will be to say that torture is an exception. But the problem goes way beyond outright coercion of witnesses. There are lots of carrots and sticks that could influence witnesses. Even being subtly leading will skew the testimonies (e.g. "Tell me about the gas chamber" is leading because it presupposes that there was a gas chamber.) And even more fundamentally there is the issue of selection bias, of only presenting or publicizing the testimonies that are convenient. This is similar to the issue of publication bias but it can be even more egregious when their is an overt agenda.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Publication_bias
The Investigators Absolutely Do Matter
In addition to the points already made, the Soviets were the only ones who had access to the physical sites and many of the documents. If the investigators of all of the key sites were deeply unreliable that is a huge concession. It casts doubt on the whole thing.
Testimonies Do Not Exist in a Vacuumbombsaway wrote: ↑Wed Oct 23, 2024 8:14 am Concerning Soviet reports, I think one thing you're missing or not understanding is that reports are not the same as direct evidence. These are secondary sources basically, and historians treat them as such. If you're doing proper history, you go to the source. The Soviet reports are irrelevant except for if they imply that the primary source data has been tampered with, eg forging and suppressing documents or coercing witnesses. This is what I haven't seen evidence of.
The major flaw in bombsaway's reasoning is that when he says "just look at the primary sources" he is ignoring important context. These primary sources do not exist in a vacuum. It is important to ask WHO was collecting statements and WHY.
The WHO and WHY Matter
You will get very different results with an investigation headed by Goebbels vs by Ilya Ehrenburg. This is obvious. And, no, we are not required a prove a "conspiracy" in order to assume this. We can assume unless proven otherwise that government's slant things.
If you look at Russian vs Ukrainian sources on the war there, you're going to get very different stories. Same with Israel and Gaza. Yet we are supposed to suspend this common sense when it comes to the Nazis and their enemies.
A Dramatic Example: Dueling Katyn Investigations
The German and Soviet Katyn investigations demonstrate the point very forcefully. The Germans said that the Polish officers had been killed in the spring of 1940. The Soviets claimed it had happened much later, in the fall of 1941 after Barbarossa. The Soviet Katyn report (USSR-54) boasts of "over 100 witnesses." And guess what? All their witnesses supported their version. They found lots of witnesses who saw the Polish officers alive and well in mid 1941. Gee, how about that? In some cases they were literally the same people but they changed their stories depending on who was asking the questions!
No, It's Not Just TortureThe first witness was Parfen Kiselyoff, 73, who said he had signed a German document stating that the Russians had killed the Poles after he had been tortured. [...]
Matthew D. Zakharoff, 50, also had been whipped and tortured by the Germans until he signed a document asserting that the Poles had been shot by the Russians in 1940. (NYT, Jan 27, 1944)
I can already foresee that the response will be to say that torture is an exception. But the problem goes way beyond outright coercion of witnesses. There are lots of carrots and sticks that could influence witnesses. Even being subtly leading will skew the testimonies (e.g. "Tell me about the gas chamber" is leading because it presupposes that there was a gas chamber.) And even more fundamentally there is the issue of selection bias, of only presenting or publicizing the testimonies that are convenient. This is similar to the issue of publication bias but it can be even more egregious when their is an overt agenda.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Publication_bias
The Investigators Absolutely Do Matter
In addition to the points already made, the Soviets were the only ones who had access to the physical sites and many of the documents. If the investigators of all of the key sites were deeply unreliable that is a huge concession. It casts doubt on the whole thing.