The problem with facile "gotcha" documents (prooftexts)
Posted: Sat May 10, 2025 6:13 pm
In a recent, very poor quality thread, a new poster, after much delay and dithering, finally got around to citing some specific evidence, and trotted out ... (drumroll)... the Posen speech and the Mar 27 Goebbels diary.
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?p=8774#p8774
These are of course probably the most cited prooftexts in favor of the Holocaust. Most people will encounter these very early on when investigating this topic. Much has and will continue to be said about those specific documents, but here I would like to make some more general comments on prooftexts, smoking guns, slam dunks, gotchas, mic drops, whatever term you want to use.
I am borrowing the term prooftext from religion. It refers to citing Bible passages to support a particular religious viewpoint. Anyone who has experience arguing over the Bible will know that people will cite prooftexts for all sorts of contradictory positions. Other useful terms from religion would be hermeneutics and exegesis which relate to the interpretation of scripture. (I definitely do NOT want to get into the Bible or religion in this thread, but the terms and concepts are useful here.)
Holocaust Hermeneutics
Here is how I would describe Holocaust hermeneutics, in brief.
Quite a few of the common Holocaust prooftexts rely on highly prejudicial language and word associations.
For the many documents that contradict the story, they have a few escape tricks that make the story essentially unfalsifiable.
First, we must recognize that are there millions of pages of potentially relevant documents. And the documents that are most known and discussed are skewed toward those that were useful for war crimes prosecutors and later Holocaust historians.
Isolating a document or a single phrase within a document is an unsound historical approach. We want the story that best fits the entire body of relevant documents (and evidence). And that's "best fits," not "perfectly fits every single document," which is typically impossible with anything major and complex. It is somewhat like a line of best fit in statistics. You want the minimum variance overall, not the smallest residual on one isolated data point. As a corollary, some individual documents may well have a "high residual" even if the theory is generally quite sound. The tendency on both sides of the Holocaust debate is to project extreme confidence on every single document and argument, but in fact there won't necessarily be an entirely satisfactory, non-speculative explanation for every individual document since there may not always be sufficient context.
If you are citing a passage from Himmler or Goebbels as your prooftext, you should, at minimum, consider other statements by these same people to see if these also fit your interpretation. Like Himmler's statements to Mussolini, for example.
viewtopic.php?p=2147#p2147
Additionally, the prooftext, if legitimate, should echo what is found in the documentation more generally. Really, we should see the evidence for this extermination program all through the German documents. Do we? No. And in fact the documents contradict the traditional story so sharply that they have had to change it rather radically over the years.
Read some of these documents discussing the "final solution" and it becomes quite clear that the term simply did not mean what Jews say it means.
https://archive.codohforum.com/20230609 ... 23c-2.html
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=70
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=38
Word Associations - Exterminationist Language
Quite a few of the Holocaust prooftexts hinge on the interpretation of certain words like ausrottung, vernichtung, and the like. I do remember when I first encountered the Posen speech. I initially thought it sounded somewhat convincing, but it was not nearly enough to settle the matter. I do not "dismiss" it, but I simply don't find it strong or robust enough to make up for the more serious deficiencies with the rest of the case. To me, a document that "sounds bad" would be reasonable to cite as a prima facie case, but it is not very robust proof considering the scale of events we are talking about (millions of people executed in gas chambers and vaporized). If that really happened, we would know, and the evidence for it would not hinge a secret speech, a postwar confession, etc.
It is important to realize that exterminationist language is quite common and it was used a lot by both Germans and Jews well before the Holocaust is said to have begun. Jews have been claiming for centuries now that are always being "exterminated." Once you realize this context, most of the prooftexts become decidedly less impressive (and many of them even become problematic because they introduce timeline problems).
There are double standards galore here since exterminationist language in other contexts is routinely dismissed as hyperbolic. It entirely depends on which groups are involved. See the article below for example on the exterminationist song "Kill the Boer!" which blacks chant in South Africa. Is this proof of "white genocide" in South Africa? The mainstream media assures us it is not. That's just a "conspiracy theory." The language in the song "should not be taken literally." In this case. But if Goebbels had led such chants, that would be exhibit A in Holocaust proofs.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/worl ... -song.html
I would encourage people to read Hitler's January 1939 speech. This is the one that has his "prophecy" about the "annihilation" of Jewry. It has routinely been cited as proof for the Holocaust, especially in older sources. But this interpretation falls apart upon further consideration. 1) The speech was made IN PUBLIC and hence the literal interpretation would contradict the careful code language excuse that is used for all the other documents. 2) If you read the whole speech, not just the cherry-picked passage, Hitler makes several references to banishing/exiling Jews rather than killing them, undermining the literal interpretation. 3) This speech is too early for such a meaning, especially given modern interpretations which have pushed the extermination decision all the way to late 1941 (these are the sort of timeline problems I was referred to).
For more, see the Holocaust Encyclopedia entry on "Extirpation." Note in particular the quotes about how Hitler was "exterminating" the Jews in 1933. Such examples should give everyone pause about the coarse "keyword" method of history.
More Word Associations with Gas
We also see this keyword/word association game with the gas chambers. The Vergasungskeller document is the obvious one here. (Pressac's "gas-tight" doors would be another). The argument can sound superficially convincing, but when you read the Vergasungskeller document it is clear they were eager to begin using at least one of the cellars for morgue space. This does not fit the orthodox interpretation which requires both cellars to be free for the gassing procedure.
Probably my favorite example of the potential for misinterpretation with word associations is the quote from Mein Kampf where Hitler wishes that a few thousand of "these Hebrew corrupters of the nation had been subjected to poison gas." Omg, Hitler's is explicitly saying he wants to gas Jews! Except in context Hitler is obviously talking about chemical warfare in WWI and he's saying Jews didn't do their part in the fighting. This MK passage is cited (by noobs) as proof for the Holocaust, but this interpretation would require us to believe that Hitler had planned the Holocaust and the means (gas chambers) nearly 15 years before the war. And then to square this with the modern theories that the Holocaust "evolved" during the war and was NOT planned way in advance. Not only is that passage not proof for the Holocaust, it is a fine demonstration of why prooftexts can be misleading.
Robustness of Evidence
In forming a conclusion on a topic like this, I think robustness is an underrated criterion. If a conclusion is robust, this means that it is highly stable and is not vulnerable to sensitivity in assumptions. Gotcha documents are almost by definition not very robust since the conclusion is highly sensitive to the interpretation (and authenticity) of that one document. It is important also that the proof be commensurate with the scale of what's alleged. If I told you that California sank into the sea, you would probably not accept this based on a signed affidavit. It is not commensurate or robust. If California sank into the sea, everyone would know about this. Yet so often with the Holocaust we are presented with extremely not robust proofs like Franz Stangl's supposed deathbed confession with Gitta Sereny. In the case of that proof, we are being asked to rely on statements supposedly made decades after the fact to prove a California-scale story.
There are documents on both sides that can be pointed to that may present difficulties or where a conclusive interpretation is not possible. But the revisionist interpretations I think are far more robust vs the orthodox side which is based on a whole stack of fragile assumptions and associations.
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?p=8774#p8774
These are of course probably the most cited prooftexts in favor of the Holocaust. Most people will encounter these very early on when investigating this topic. Much has and will continue to be said about those specific documents, but here I would like to make some more general comments on prooftexts, smoking guns, slam dunks, gotchas, mic drops, whatever term you want to use.
I am borrowing the term prooftext from religion. It refers to citing Bible passages to support a particular religious viewpoint. Anyone who has experience arguing over the Bible will know that people will cite prooftexts for all sorts of contradictory positions. Other useful terms from religion would be hermeneutics and exegesis which relate to the interpretation of scripture. (I definitely do NOT want to get into the Bible or religion in this thread, but the terms and concepts are useful here.)
Holocaust Hermeneutics
Here is how I would describe Holocaust hermeneutics, in brief.
- Take the Holocaust story, more or less, as given (the six million, the final solution, the gas chambers, etc). All documents are to be interpreted a priori under the assumption that this underlying story is true.
- Create strong priors among the public using psychological warfare techniques ("priming")
- Cherry-pick through all the documents (millions of pages) looking for favored "keywords" (e.g. ausrottung) that activate the priming.
Quite a few of the common Holocaust prooftexts rely on highly prejudicial language and word associations.
For the many documents that contradict the story, they have a few escape tricks that make the story essentially unfalsifiable.
- Assuming code language and euphemism (but NEVER hyperbole)
- Playing games with the timeline (see for example discussions of the final solution or the Birkenau crematoria construction)
- Playing games with who was or wasn't in the loop
- Drawing distinctions between groups of Jews. Labor vs unemployable is a big one. German Jews vs Eastern Jews is another.
- Positing ever more disorganized and improvised scenarios to explain why there is so much missing documentation
First, we must recognize that are there millions of pages of potentially relevant documents. And the documents that are most known and discussed are skewed toward those that were useful for war crimes prosecutors and later Holocaust historians.
Isolating a document or a single phrase within a document is an unsound historical approach. We want the story that best fits the entire body of relevant documents (and evidence). And that's "best fits," not "perfectly fits every single document," which is typically impossible with anything major and complex. It is somewhat like a line of best fit in statistics. You want the minimum variance overall, not the smallest residual on one isolated data point. As a corollary, some individual documents may well have a "high residual" even if the theory is generally quite sound. The tendency on both sides of the Holocaust debate is to project extreme confidence on every single document and argument, but in fact there won't necessarily be an entirely satisfactory, non-speculative explanation for every individual document since there may not always be sufficient context.
If you are citing a passage from Himmler or Goebbels as your prooftext, you should, at minimum, consider other statements by these same people to see if these also fit your interpretation. Like Himmler's statements to Mussolini, for example.
viewtopic.php?p=2147#p2147
Additionally, the prooftext, if legitimate, should echo what is found in the documentation more generally. Really, we should see the evidence for this extermination program all through the German documents. Do we? No. And in fact the documents contradict the traditional story so sharply that they have had to change it rather radically over the years.
Read some of these documents discussing the "final solution" and it becomes quite clear that the term simply did not mean what Jews say it means.
https://archive.codohforum.com/20230609 ... 23c-2.html
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=70
https://www.codohforum.com/viewtopic.php?t=38
Word Associations - Exterminationist Language
Quite a few of the Holocaust prooftexts hinge on the interpretation of certain words like ausrottung, vernichtung, and the like. I do remember when I first encountered the Posen speech. I initially thought it sounded somewhat convincing, but it was not nearly enough to settle the matter. I do not "dismiss" it, but I simply don't find it strong or robust enough to make up for the more serious deficiencies with the rest of the case. To me, a document that "sounds bad" would be reasonable to cite as a prima facie case, but it is not very robust proof considering the scale of events we are talking about (millions of people executed in gas chambers and vaporized). If that really happened, we would know, and the evidence for it would not hinge a secret speech, a postwar confession, etc.
It is important to realize that exterminationist language is quite common and it was used a lot by both Germans and Jews well before the Holocaust is said to have begun. Jews have been claiming for centuries now that are always being "exterminated." Once you realize this context, most of the prooftexts become decidedly less impressive (and many of them even become problematic because they introduce timeline problems).
There are double standards galore here since exterminationist language in other contexts is routinely dismissed as hyperbolic. It entirely depends on which groups are involved. See the article below for example on the exterminationist song "Kill the Boer!" which blacks chant in South Africa. Is this proof of "white genocide" in South Africa? The mainstream media assures us it is not. That's just a "conspiracy theory." The language in the song "should not be taken literally." In this case. But if Goebbels had led such chants, that would be exhibit A in Holocaust proofs.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/worl ... -song.html
I would encourage people to read Hitler's January 1939 speech. This is the one that has his "prophecy" about the "annihilation" of Jewry. It has routinely been cited as proof for the Holocaust, especially in older sources. But this interpretation falls apart upon further consideration. 1) The speech was made IN PUBLIC and hence the literal interpretation would contradict the careful code language excuse that is used for all the other documents. 2) If you read the whole speech, not just the cherry-picked passage, Hitler makes several references to banishing/exiling Jews rather than killing them, undermining the literal interpretation. 3) This speech is too early for such a meaning, especially given modern interpretations which have pushed the extermination decision all the way to late 1941 (these are the sort of timeline problems I was referred to).
For more, see the Holocaust Encyclopedia entry on "Extirpation." Note in particular the quotes about how Hitler was "exterminating" the Jews in 1933. Such examples should give everyone pause about the coarse "keyword" method of history.
More Word Associations with Gas
We also see this keyword/word association game with the gas chambers. The Vergasungskeller document is the obvious one here. (Pressac's "gas-tight" doors would be another). The argument can sound superficially convincing, but when you read the Vergasungskeller document it is clear they were eager to begin using at least one of the cellars for morgue space. This does not fit the orthodox interpretation which requires both cellars to be free for the gassing procedure.
Probably my favorite example of the potential for misinterpretation with word associations is the quote from Mein Kampf where Hitler wishes that a few thousand of "these Hebrew corrupters of the nation had been subjected to poison gas." Omg, Hitler's is explicitly saying he wants to gas Jews! Except in context Hitler is obviously talking about chemical warfare in WWI and he's saying Jews didn't do their part in the fighting. This MK passage is cited (by noobs) as proof for the Holocaust, but this interpretation would require us to believe that Hitler had planned the Holocaust and the means (gas chambers) nearly 15 years before the war. And then to square this with the modern theories that the Holocaust "evolved" during the war and was NOT planned way in advance. Not only is that passage not proof for the Holocaust, it is a fine demonstration of why prooftexts can be misleading.
Robustness of Evidence
In forming a conclusion on a topic like this, I think robustness is an underrated criterion. If a conclusion is robust, this means that it is highly stable and is not vulnerable to sensitivity in assumptions. Gotcha documents are almost by definition not very robust since the conclusion is highly sensitive to the interpretation (and authenticity) of that one document. It is important also that the proof be commensurate with the scale of what's alleged. If I told you that California sank into the sea, you would probably not accept this based on a signed affidavit. It is not commensurate or robust. If California sank into the sea, everyone would know about this. Yet so often with the Holocaust we are presented with extremely not robust proofs like Franz Stangl's supposed deathbed confession with Gitta Sereny. In the case of that proof, we are being asked to rely on statements supposedly made decades after the fact to prove a California-scale story.
There are documents on both sides that can be pointed to that may present difficulties or where a conclusive interpretation is not possible. But the revisionist interpretations I think are far more robust vs the orthodox side which is based on a whole stack of fragile assumptions and associations.